Energy Project Pipeline & Climate Risk

Nepal's installed capacity across three authoritative sources, major project pipeline, cross-border export trajectory, and climate risk event tracking — with source attribution on every data point.

Supreme Court Hydropower Ruling — 242 Projects in Legal Uncertainty

The Supreme Court's 2025 ruling restricts hydropower development in national parks and protected areas, affecting 242 projects with a combined capacity of 16,735 MW. Developers with survey or generation licences in affected zones must reassess legal standing. This is the single most material policy risk to Nepal's power sector pipeline.

Section A

Installed Capacity — Three Sources

Nepal's total installed capacity reported by three different authorities. The range (3,591 – 4,296 MW) reflects different counting methodologies — each source is labelled.

Installed Capacity (MoEWRI)

4,296MW

from 3,764

Source: MoEWRI / Nepalnews.com · Updated: May 26, 2026

Installed Capacity (IPPAN)

3,983MW

from 3,451

Source: IPPAN Energy Statistics 2026 · Updated: May 26, 2026

Installed Capacity (NEA)

3,591MW

from 3,059

Source: NEA 40th Anniversary Publication · Updated: May 26, 2026

Capacity Added FY 2025/26

532MW

Source: Nepal Energy Forum · Updated: Apr 15, 2026

Under Construction

~3,000MW

Source: DoED / Media Compilation · Updated: May 26, 2026

Projects in Legal Uncertainty (SC Ruling)

242projects / 16,735 MW

Source: Supreme Court of Nepal / Multiple Sources · Updated: May 26, 2026

Flood Damage (Oct 2025)

518MW

Source: IPPAN · Updated: May 26, 2026


Section B

Project Pipeline

Major hydropower and renewable energy projects currently operational or under construction across Nepal.

Major Energy Projects

Project NameCapacity (MW)TypeRiver BasinStatusDistrict
Dudhkoshi670StorageSolu / OkhaldhungaUnder ConstructionSolukhumbu
Nalgad417StorageBheriUnder ConstructionJajarkot
Naumure280StorageWest RaptiUnder ConstructionGulmi / Arghakhanchi
Upper Tamakoshi Extension10RoRTamakoshiOperationalDolakha
Rashuwagadhi111RoRTrishuliOperationalRasuwa
Super Dordi30RoRDordiUnder ConstructionLamjung
Mailung Khola5RoRTrishuliOperationalNuwakot
Solar Park Butwal8.5SolarOperationalRupandehi

Source: DoED / Media Compilation · Updated: May 2026


Section C

Technology Mix

Nepal's installed generation capacity by technology type.

Generation Capacity by Technology

100Total
Hydropower85.0%
Solar5.0%
Other Renewables3.0%
Thermal (backup)7.0%

Source: NEA / IPPAN compilation · Updated: May 2026

Section D

Cross-Border Export Revenue

Electricity export revenue to India, growing 7× in five years.

Annual Export Revenue (NPR Billion)

NPR Billion1713107302019/202020/212021/222022/232023/242024/25

Source: NEA Annual Reports · Updated: FY 2024/25 (est.)


Section E

Climate Risk Event Log

Tracked climate events that have damaged or disrupted energy infrastructure. Event-specific data only — multi-year aggregates are not used.

Climate & Disaster Events

DateEventProjects AffectedCapacity (MW)Source
Oct 2025Monsoon Flooding32518 (180 operational + 338 under construction)IPPAN
Sep 2024Melamchi Flash Flood345Media reports
Jun 2024Pre-monsoon landslides528DoED

Source: IPPAN / DoED / Media · Updated: May 2026

HIGH

Methodology note: Event-specific data only. Multi-year aggregates are not used. Each row reflects a discrete climate event and its immediate impact on energy projects. October 2025 flooding caused the largest single-event damage on record (518 MW across 32 projects).


Need a climate risk assessment for your project site?

Our Hydropower Technical and ESG committees can evaluate flood zone exposure, GLOF risk, and climate resilience measures.